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The base layer is getting more and more, will the diammonium rise?

In autumn, the fertilizer market is in the peak season of receiving goods in the grassroots market, and the winter storage market is progressing slowly. In the same period last year, the mainstream of 64% diammonium in North China was quoted at 2,800 yuan/ton, and the mainstream in Heilongjiang Province received an offer of 3000-3050 yuan. Throughout the market last year, the overall price of diammonium was at a high level, and the supply was relatively tight, and even some areas were out of stock. At the end of September this year, the price of diammonium was weak.

The price of diammonium in North China is frequent, and the price of individual enterprises in Hubei Province has dropped to 2,400 yuan. The downstream traders are hollow and some areas are upside down. Although the winter storage has not yet entered the peak season of sales, the winter storage of the same period last year has begun to collect money. The overall collection situation in the Northeast is relatively poor. The 64% diammonium Heilongjiang area received a pre-received offer of 2,600 yuan / ton or slightly lower, compared with the same period last year, the price was reduced by 400 yuan. The main reasons affecting the price of diammonium are as follows:

1. International price

The international price has fallen. Although the amount of diammonium exports this year is almost the same as that of the same period of last year, the overall price has shrunk. After the domestic sales of diammonium enterprises were blocked, they hoped to ease their supply pressure through the international market.
However, the international market price cuts again and again. At this stage, China's 64% diammonium offshore guidance price fell to 310-315 US dollars. Even if the RMB depreciation, the overall arrival price is only 2200 yuan.


2, raw materials

The price of raw materials has shrunk more. In the same period of last year, the overall price of sulfur remained above 1,150 yuan. At present, the sulfur is in stock, the overall price remains at around 700 yuan, and the millions of tons of Hong Kong deposits make it difficult for the recent sulfur price to rise. In the same period last year, the price of liquid ammonia was put into storage at 3,300 yuan. This year, the liquid ammonia market price has been sluggish.
According to the statistics of raw materials, the cost of diammonium raw materials is about 300 yuan lower than last year. The price of diammonium is not bad this year.
3. Operating rate

The company started to operate at a high level, and the chemical fertilizer environment was lower. As environmental protection and safety become more and more normal, the environmental standards of chemical fertilizer enterprises are gradually meeting the rules. Roughly calculated, the average daily output of urea reached more than 150,000 tons, while the operating rate of large-scale compound fertilizer enterprises gradually increased to more than 50%. Some diammonium enterprises have not been extensively repaired, and the overall market supply is excessive.
The overall price of urea has dropped by more than 200 yuan compared with the same period of last year. The market is on the sidelines of buying and selling, not buying and selling, and diammonium companies fight prices when they encounter sales. Sales in North China are not smooth, and distributors in the Northeast are waiting for the policy of diammonium to be further clarified.

  In summary, at this stage, the autumn market is in the peak season of receiving goods at the grassroots level. The large supply time of the autumn market has passed, and the winter storage has been slow. It is expected that the high-end arrival guidance price of diammonium in the northeast region is still showing signs of decline.

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