Does diammonium rise? These four points are critical

 Now in the autumn season of fertilizer sales, the factory is in good condition, the market price is gradually stable, and some large dealers start to ship in moderation. The overall operation of the diammonium enterprises in Hubei Province has been running smoothly for a while, and the 64% diammonium mainstream North China has received a station price of 2,450-2,500 yuan/ton. Despite the recent bad news, as the sales in North China entered the peak season, the possibility of price cuts in the latter period is small. The demand is weak, the pressure on the enterprise is large, and the raw material cost is still low. It is expected that the monoammonium will still be down. The southwestern large-scale plant started to work smoothly for a while, and now the 64% diammonium mainstream pre-received station in North China is quoted at RMB 2450-2500/ton, and the 57% diammonium North China pre-received station offers 2100-2200 yuan/ton.

Poor domestic demand

In recent years, due to the impact of the compound fertilizer market, dealers have become less and less profitable in diammonium sales. In some regions, even sales are sold at a loss. The dealers often have to wait until the market is approaching when purchasing diammonium. Start stocking. In addition, the fertilizer affected by the planting area and planting structure adjustment in some areas will be reduced compared with previous years. The planting area of field crops such as wheat, corn and cotton will be reduced, and the area planted with peanuts and soybeans will increase. The choice has a greater impact.

Weak international market

The international diammonium is relatively weak and the price is low. Brazil's 63% particulate monoammonium FOB price has dropped to 325-327 US dollars. China's 64% diammonium FOB and Indian diammonium CIF prices fell to US$314-316 and US$328-332, respectively. Some factories' new 64% diammonium FOB price fell to 315 US dollars / ton, coupled with the recent appreciation of the renminbi, such as export at this price, some companies may lose too much.

Stable supply

Recently, the start of diammonium was mainly stable, and the start of construction in some areas declined slightly. Most enterprises are still implementing the “6+2” meeting's production restriction policy, but some enterprises still have large inventory pressures, and prices continue to decline in order to avoid oversupply in the North China market. A small number of enterprises have entered the winter storage stage ahead of time and started to collect ports from the port of the Bayuquan. The 64% diammonium port has raised the price by 2,500 yuan and 57% of the diammonium 2,100-2,150 yuan, with a pre-receiving policy and a interest rate of 6-8%. . Although the collection and delivery situation is general, it does relieve the supply pressure of the North China market to a certain extent. In addition, some enterprises have made a difference in the export market, and the gradual balance between demand and supply has finally stabilized the price of diammonium in the Mid-Autumn Festival.

The settlement period is approaching, the factory is very expensive

This year, the overall environment of the fertilizer market was poor, and bad news continued. The price of diammonium dipped all the way. In addition, the traders at all levels had less profit in sales of diammonium in the past years. Most companies in order to cope with the downstream dealers to buy up and not buy down mentality, stimulate shipments, most of the implementation of the pre-receiving policy, and more to the end of September and early October. Now that the settlement period is approaching, and the major first-tier traders are beginning to ship, the company is willing to pay more for the settlement that is about to expire.

In summary, the domestic diammonium market continued to be sluggish, and the terminal demand in the autumn market was running smoothly, but the demand fell compared with previous years. The market is worried about increased sentiment, and raw material prices continue to be low, and cost support is limited. In the export market, the price of diammonium continued to decline, and the export volume of Chinese enterprises was limited. Affected by domestic and foreign market demand, the diammonium market is weak in the short term. It is expected that the price of diammonium will drop by 50-100 yuan/ton after the end of the autumn market.